Impact of Weather and Ballpark on Daily Fantasy Baseball

Setting a daily fantasy baseball lineup for games to play at FantasyAces.com or DraftKings.com takes a lot of research and analysis – but two factors that top daily fantasy baseball players look at are what the weather is at various ballparks that day as well as what kind of ball park will the game be played at.

Below is my analysis of the impact of weather and ballpark on Daily Fantasy Baseball and why you need to consider it when you are creating lineups each time you play.

Weather

  • Rain

There are three types of weather that effect daily fantasy baseball and baseball in general. The first is precipitation. I want to begin by saying on average just over 1% of baseball games are rained out each fantasy baseball season so this is sometimes overblown. Even though only 1% of games get rained out there are usually only one or two games that have rain in the forecast. When looking at those games I go to weather.com to check out the exact percentages of rain for each hour. If there is a substantial chance of a rainout you should avoid all players from those games. If the weather looks like it is going to clear up but their might still be a little bit of rain, than it is OK to take hitters for your daily fantasy baseball lineup, but not OK to take any starting fantasy pitchers from that game. The reason is, if there is a 30+ minute delay the pitcher will get tired and have to be taken out of the game. The hitters will be fine and play the rest of the game.

  • Wind

The second type of weather that can affect daily fantasy baseball is wind. Wind is a factor in places like Chicago (the Windy City) where the wind can drastically change on a night-to-night basis. The only way the wind should influence your picks is if it is blowing more than 20mph. If the wind is blowing in towards home plate the pitcher should get a slight bump up and the hitters a slight bump down because long fly balls will more likely stay in the ballpark. If it is the opposite and the wind is blowing out then hitters will get the bump up and pitchers the bump down.

  • Cold Temperatures

The third type of weather that affects daily fantasy baseball is cold temperatures. When the weather is cold during the early or late part of the MLB season it is good to select pitchers pitching where it is cold as hitters have a tougher time hitting the ball in cold weather. On the flip side it is good to avoid hitters in cold weather games. Obviously the opposite is true in the summer months of the baseball season as the heat and humidity can cause the ball to fly further giving a bump in value to fantasy hitters and a downgrade to fantasy pitchers.

Ballpark Factor

The next thing I am going to discuss is the impact of ballpark factor on making daily fantasy baseball lineups. There are baseball parks with either shorter distances to the fence or where the ball travels further because of the climate – this is where hitters should be used more. An example of this is Coors Field. One thing that I must warn you about is that DraftKings factors ballpark factor into their salary algorithm so ballpark factor should not be used on their site. Fields like Petco Park favor pitchers because the ball does not travel as well and the fences are further back than usual. Use these articles Hitter Friendly Ballparks and Pitcher Friendly Ballparks to help you decide which stadiums to target and which to avoid.

 

RECAP: Always check the forecast to make sure your player’s game will not get rained out. Playing all players whose games are played already gives you a slight edge because many people do not check forecasts and play fantasy baseball players in rained out games. Lastly use wind, extreme temperatures, and ballpark factors to help you select your daily fantasy baseball players.

 

How To Pick Fantasy Baseball Lineups For GPPs

Whenever you hear talk about Daily Fantasy Baseball, the first thing you hear about are the huge cash prizes that DraftKings and FanDuel pay out each year for their Daily Fantasy Baseball Guaranteed Prize Pools (GPPs). We’re talking Millions of Dollars being paid out every MLB Baseball season and fantasy players are turning into millionaires overnight. The fantasy players winning these millions are creating fantasy baseball lineups gearing to winning the Top Fantasy Baseball Contests being offered in the industry.

 

The 2 BIGGEST GPP Contests For Daily Fantasy Baseball Are:

FanDuel – Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship (DFBC)           

DraftKings – Fantasy Baseball Championship

Each Contest offers Millions in prizes with one winner walking away with a check for $1 Million!

In this article you are going to learn the best Fantasy Baseball strategies for trying to take down these massive guaranteed prizes.

 

Where To Play Your Fantasy Baseball Lineups?

Stay Within Your Bankroll

Before we get started on the actual strategy I want to make sure that you guys stay within your bankroll. These GPP tournaments are hard to cash in and you should not be playing a large percentage of your bankroll in these contests.

Find The Overlay

Overlay – O’ what a wonderful thing. Near lock time look around for large amounts of overlay. If you find a tournament with an overlay, jump on it! It is a lot easier to beat 2000 people for a $30,000 prize pool than 3500 people for the same prize pool. A tip that I have learned over time is to have a lineup already made in case you find an overlay so that you don’t have to rush and make a fantasy team without doing the proper research.

Making Your Lineups

Most GPPs for daily fantasy baseball are multi-entry, meaning that you can put more than one entry into them. People use the stacking strategy, the mini-stacking strategy, or the high upside team strategy. In multi-entry contests it is smart to put in multiple teams to raise your chances of winning. When playing in single entry GPPs it is smart to play a solid team with a little bit of upside.

 

Breakdown Of Stacking Strategies

Stacking

In large field Fantasy Baseball GPP’s you need to beat thousands of fantasy players. If you select a team that scores a ton of runs then your team should have a great chance of cashing high in the GPP. The downside of stacking is that if your team does not score a lot of runs then you will lose money.

Mini-Stacking

A strategy with even more upside than stacking is mini-stacking. If you can hit the top players of the night from two or three teams than you can really place high in a GPP. Even when many people may have a stack of one of the highest scoring teams of the night, not many people will have a mini-stack of both of the teams. The downside to mini-stacking is if one of your team scores a lot of runs and the other one does not, than you still probably will not cash in.

High Upside Team

A high upside team is a team that is very risky but also could be very rewarding. I have seen many tournaments won by using this strategy. In this strategy, players with multi-homerun upside at relatively cheap prices should frequent your lineups. I would only suggest selecting 3-4 of these players because the chance that all eight of these players all hit home runs on the same night is very unlikely. Having three or four of them hitting home runs on one night is much more likely. If you mix the three huge nights from those players with average to above average nights from the rest of your team than you have a solid chance at winning a GPP.

All Around Solid Team With Upside

The fourth and final strategy for making a GPP lineup is the all around solid team strategy. Whereas the other four strategies could pertain to both single and multi-entry contests, this lineup building strategy only pertains to single entry. In this strategy you should select a team full of guys who have a relatively high floor but also have a relatively high ceiling. This strategy probably will not help you put up a score as high as the other three strategies but it will help you cash at a more stable rate.

 

RECAP: You need to stay within your bankroll and not throw thousands of dollars blindly at GPPs and qualifiers. Use good bankroll management and set an amount to use in fantasy baseball GPPs. Next, pounce on overlay. When you see big overlay do not waste a shot to get in on the free money. Lastly, if you want to have a shot at winning the giant prize pools then you need to use one of the high upside strategies of either stacking, mini-stacking, or the high upside team. For single entry tournaments I would recommend the use of the solid team with some upside strategy. Those players will likely be highly owned but you still should have a shot at cashing pretty high. If you use these strategies, then even you may have a shot of cashing in a check for ONE MILLION DOLLARS!

 

Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategies 101

Has your fantasy baseball team been hit with so many injuries that you are the laughing stock of the group?

Have you started to lose your interest in watching baseball because your fantasy team is out of contention?

Are you wishing it was already April of next season?

If you answered YES to any or all of these questions, then this is why you need to get into Daily Fantasy Baseball.

What you don’t know is that most of your friends are already playing and making money at it so why shouldn’t you? But, before you start, you need to know that daily fantasy baseball games are different from your regular season long leagues, so you need to start with some basic daily fantasy baseball strategies. We like to call it our Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategies 101…

Find A Site To Play At

Start off at one of the top 3 daily fantasy baseball sites – FanDuel, DraftKings or DraftDay. Read our site reviews and decide where you want to start.

Claim All The FREE Money You Can Get

All three sites give you a deposit bonus if you use our exclusive bonus links.  But that is not all… Also, once you make a deposit, you will be awarded with FREE fantasy baseball contests for real cash prizes. This is a great way to get some free money and start a bankroll.

***DFS Tip – Don’t waste your deposit bonus by making a $10 or $20 deposit like most beginners do – you can get anywhere from $200-$600 FREE with a larger first deposit.***

You can always get your money back by cashing out, but the deposit bonus offer won’t be around forever. And you will likely never get such a large bonus again.

Join “Beginner Games”

Many sites offer beginner games to play so that you aren’t playing a DFS Shark looking to feast on newbie players. Try out free games first and then graduate to beginner games before you take a run at the big boys to make a name for yourself.

Know The Scoring System

Some sites heavily favor pitching stats and some even out the numbers between hitters and pitchers. Apply this daily fantasy baseball strategy by playing at the right sites.

Research The Ballparks

Are games being played in a hitter or pitcher friendly park? You need to know this as it is a major factor in daily fantasy baseball. Is a good pitcher playing in a friendly park? Are hitters facing bad pitchers in a hitter friendly park? All these factors need to be researched carefully when making your roster picks.

Check The Starting Lineups

Unlike your season long league, having a player that takes a day off will kill your team that night. Before you set your final lineups, check to see if all your fantasy players are playing that night. If you don’t know for sure, don’t pick the player.

Become A Weatherman

Make sure the game isn’t going to get rained out. If your game is postponed, you lose the stats for any players involved and get zeroes. Will it be cold? Will it be windy? Will it be extra hot causing humidity to have an effect on the ball? These are issues you may want to factor in that many of your opponents won’t think to check or won’t have time to check.

Ride Hot Streaks

Hitters are very streaky and sometimes guys get on a hot streak and daily fantasy baseball sites rarely adjust the salary cap prices for this kind of thing. Ride the streak that night if it’s a cheap enough play.

Know Everyone’s OBP (On Base Percentage)

At most sites you lose points for strikeouts, at the very least you’ll get a “0” if your hitter goes 0 for 4. Look for guys that get a lot of walks, get hits and generally get on base. Even if they don’t have a huge hitting day, you may get a SB or a Run, which will get you a few points for just reaching base.

Start With 50/50 Games

50/50 games are games in which all the people put in money to play but only the top half (or 50% of the players) win money. Put in $5 and finish in the top 50% and get back $9 (you have to factor in the rake the site takes). Sometimes the games don’t fill up so your odds of cashing in increase even more. These games are great for building a bankroll early on for beginner daily fantasy baseball players.

 

Now you have the basics to get started winning money! Why not test out these strategies in a FREE game at a top fantasy baseball site like DraftKings. Join here using our bonus link and receive a  FREE game ticket just for joining!