Which Fantasy QB To Pick This Week?

This is the question that gets asked the most in daily fantasy football.

The Quarterback position is normally the one that will get you the most fantasy points each, week so finding the best QB is a priority.

Obviously we can’t just take the top rated QB on the board as we have salary cap considerations to make as well.

So which is the top fantasy QB this week? Here are some daily fantasy football strategies to help you make your choice.

Look At The Vegas Odds

Find out which games are projected to be high scoring. If the oddsmakers have a game with a total of 41, they are predicting a final score of 24-17. Not bad scoring, but if you assume that a running back will factor into the scoring, there will probably be only 3 TDs in that game. Not a lot of potential for fantasy points.

Now if the game is predicted to be an O/U of 52, then you could be looking at a 35-17 game, or a 28-24 game, now the potential rises to having one of the QBs score 3 touchdowns making the points become more interesting.

Always Pick Winning QBs

If you are looking at a high scoring game as mentioned above, you will be faced with a choice of which QB to take. Generally you want to pick the QB that you think will be on the winning side as the assumption is that they will get you the most points that day.

Keep An Eye On The Back Door

How many people have been burned by the back door cover. It’s even worse in fantasy football when you have a lead in a head to head game and see that the QB your opponent picked is now throwing bombs to catch up in the 4th quarter. The backdoor can work for you too. A bad team facing a good offense will have to abandon the run early and resort to throwing. Typically in the 4th quarter if a team has a big lead, they start to sit in zone defense and give up tons of yards and some scores just to keep the clock moving. This is where you can find a QB on a bad team with a decent offense that may have to throw 50-60 times in the game.

Look At The Opposing Defense

Some QBs will face a good defense that is great at stopping the run, but can’t stop the pass…that’s the one you want to focus on. A bad defensive team in general usually means that the quarterback will simply hand off the ball and ground and pound the whole game. If the running game is out, it means your quarterback is free to air it out.

Look for trends – NFL week 1 and week 2 can be hard because teams are still figuring things out. By week 5 you can get a pretty good idea if a team has a pass first, or a run first philosophy. If you know that you are guaranteed 2 TDs and 250 yards out of a QB, you may just take the easy points and focus your research on other positions.

Check The Scoring System

Not all fantasy sites are equal. If you have a QB in mind, make sure that you play at the daily fantasy football site that optimizes his points. We are big believers that you should have accounts at multiple DFS sites with the Big 3 (FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftDay) being on that list. Pick the quarterback you want, then double check the scoring at those 3 sites to make sure you are playing at the site that gives you the best value.

Already have an account at the Big 3? Try out Victiv.com. They are a growing site with a great fantasy football setup and you can take advantage of a 100% deposit bonus up to $1000. It costs nothing to join and you may find a new site for your stable.

 

Daily Fantasy Football Strategies 101

So you’re ready to start playing Daily Fantasy Football and want some tips on how to start off well…

Listed below are some basic daily fantasy football strategies that you should keep in mind when you are ready to start playing fantasy football at one of the top DFS sites.

Pick A Site

Sounds simple enough, but first you need to join one of the top fantasy football sites. Check out our Daily Fantasy Football Site Reviews and get started by joining one of them!

Learn The Scoring System

Each site has a different fantasy football scoring system. DraftKings, in general, gives out more points to wide receivers (because they are PPR) than FanDuel does. If you are high on a WR, play him where he will score you the most points. These are the comparisons you need to review before you make your fantasy picks for the week.

Identify Sleeper Picks

It’s easy to pick the most expensive players for a salary cap lineup, the problem is you will get an error message when you click submit for being over the salary cap. If you want a bunch of stars, you must to find the sleeper pick(s) that week.

***DFS Tip –Watch the injury report!***

If a regular isn’t starting, the backup will be under-priced and could be your sleeper that week.

Create Player Combos

One good strategy is to pair up your QB with the #1 WR of the same team. If the QB has a big passing week, someone usually follows his trail to catch those balls. QB/TE combo is another good one to key in on or even combine all 3 (QB, WR, TE) if it is a potent high scoring offense.

Know The Matchups

Do your research and find out which teams have the worst defences and which have the best offences. If you can pick a QB playing a bad defence, there may be lots of points in your future. Also find the teams that have weak run defenses as you will then see a team pound the ball all day and leave the QB off the score sheet. In this case a top RB might be the answer.

***DFS Tip – In colder months look for these matchups inside dome stadiums.***

The cold/wet weather outdoors can negate any potential you had with the offence/defence mismatch.

Make Sure All Your Players Are Playing

Nothing worse than logging in to check your stats only to see someone with no points and an OUT next to their status. This is a rookie mistake – check final lineups when teams post them about 1-2 hours before game time.

Check Weather Reports

Bad weather can kill a fantasy team. Too much wind will make a passing team run the ball and kickers miss field goals or the coach won’t go for long field goals at all. Wet conditions mean more running (although it could mean more passing too depending on the footing of the field). Sometimes the best play is to stay away from bad weather games – but if you must play guys in a crappy weather situation, proceed with caution and do extra research.

Betting lines

Want to know if a game will be high scoring or a defensive battle? Check out what the boys in Las Vegas have to say. High over/unders mean that the game should be high scoring whereas low over/unders could spell disaster for any QB/RB/WR you are looking at picking. You can also check some of the prop lines to see how they think individual players will perform that day. See what a QB’s over/under is for passing yards as well, it may give you some added insight about QBs and WRs.

 

There you go! You have the basic daily fantasy football strategies you need to get started. Why not test out your skills in a FREE game at DraftKings! All you need to do is Join DraftKings Here, make your first deposit and you will get into a FREE Contest just for joining up with our exclusive bonus link. There’s money waiting to be won…now go get it!